REALTIME PROJECTIONS

4/25/2025
PIT
VS
LAD
WIN %
33.07%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
6.59
WIN %
66.93%
4/25/2025
TEX
VS
SFG
WIN %
47.64%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.19
WIN %
52.36%
4/25/2025
CHW
VS
OAK
WIN %
36.11%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.55
WIN %
63.89%
4/25/2025
CHW
VS
OAK
WIN %
36.11%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.55
WIN %
63.89%
4/25/2025
CHW
VS
OAK
WIN %
36.11%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.55
WIN %
63.89%
4/25/2025
CHW
VS
OAK
WIN %
36.11%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.55
WIN %
63.89%
4/25/2025
PIT
VS
LAD
WIN %
33.07%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
6.59
WIN %
66.93%
4/25/2025
TEX
VS
SFG
WIN %
47.64%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.19
WIN %
52.36%
4/25/2025
CHW
VS
OAK
WIN %
36.11%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.55
WIN %
63.89%
4/25/2025
MIA
VS
SEA
WIN %
28.91%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.37
WIN %
71.09%
4/25/2025
TBR
VS
SDP
WIN %
37.58%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.69
WIN %
62.42%
4/25/2025
ATL
VS
ARI
WIN %
51.35%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.17
WIN %
48.65%
4/25/2025
CIN
VS
COL
WIN %
52.73%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
10.63
WIN %
47.27%
4/25/2025
TOR
VS
NYY
WIN %
44.22%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
10
WIN %
55.78%
4/25/2025
LAA
VS
MIN
WIN %
27.1%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.95
WIN %
72.9%
4/25/2025
MIL
VS
STL
WIN %
51.2%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.51
WIN %
48.8%
4/25/2025
HOU
VS
KCR
WIN %
54.19%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.29
WIN %
45.81%
4/25/2025
BOS
VS
CLE
WIN %
50.55%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.11
WIN %
49.45%
4/25/2025
NYM
VS
WSN
WIN %
67.65%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.32
WIN %
32.35%
4/25/2025
PHI
VS
CHC
WIN %
51.46%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.91
WIN %
48.54%
4/25/2025
BAL
VS
DET
WIN %
57.32%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.83
WIN %
42.68%
4/24/2025
PIT
VS
LAA
WIN %
54.59%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.7
WIN %
45.41%
4/24/2025
TEX
VS
OAK
WIN %
55.77%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.26
WIN %
44.23%
4/24/2025
TBR
VS
ARI
WIN %
44.34%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.93
WIN %
55.66%
4/24/2025
COL
VS
KCR
WIN %
37.3%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.75
WIN %
62.7%
4/24/2025
MIL
VS
SFG
WIN %
47.26%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.3
WIN %
52.74%
4/24/2025
CHW
VS
MIN
WIN %
25.69%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.48
WIN %
74.31%
4/24/2025
COL
VS
KCR
WIN %
29.16%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.83
WIN %
70.84%
4/24/2025
BAL
VS
WSN
WIN %
57.26%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.32
WIN %
42.74%
4/24/2025
SEA
VS
BOS
WIN %
48.61%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.64
WIN %
51.39%
4/23/2025
PIT
VS
LAA
WIN %
53.54%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.04
WIN %
46.46%
4/23/2025
TEX
VS
OAK
WIN %
57.35%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.71
WIN %
42.65%
4/23/2025
MIL
VS
SFG
WIN %
45.46%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
6.37
WIN %
54.54%
4/23/2025
TOR
VS
HOU
WIN %
43.21%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.53
WIN %
56.79%
4/23/2025
TBR
VS
ARI
WIN %
36.4%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.8
WIN %
63.6%
4/23/2025
LAD
VS
CHC
WIN %
48.67%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9
WIN %
51.33%

HOW WE MAKE PICKS

DATA ACQUISITION

Our win probability model is created using Statcast data over the last 5 seasons and has been applied to the 3,300 games that occurred over the last two seasons. With each season, the model is updated with new data to keep the predictions accurate.

DATA ANALYSIS

Using our individual player projections, each day we input the starting pitchers and run a Monte Carlos simulation to simulate each game 10,000 times and identify the median outcomes.

PROJECTION OUTPUT

The model outputs the predicted win percentage for each team as well as the total runs scored in the game. We then compare to lines provided by sports book and bet the games we identify an edge on.