REALTIME PROJECTIONS

4/2/2025
ATL
VS
LAD
WIN %
40.1%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8
WIN %
59.9%
4/2/2025
ARI
VS
NYY
WIN %
49.16%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.58
WIN %
50.84%
4/2/2025
COL
VS
PHI
WIN %
25.21%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.33
WIN %
74.79%
4/2/2025
COL
VS
PHI
WIN %
25.21%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.33
WIN %
74.79%
4/2/2025
COL
VS
PHI
WIN %
25.21%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.33
WIN %
74.79%
4/2/2025
COL
VS
PHI
WIN %
25.21%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.33
WIN %
74.79%
4/2/2025
ATL
VS
LAD
WIN %
40.1%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8
WIN %
59.9%
4/2/2025
ARI
VS
NYY
WIN %
49.16%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.58
WIN %
50.84%
4/2/2025
COL
VS
PHI
WIN %
25.21%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.33
WIN %
74.79%
4/2/2025
BOS
VS
BAL
WIN %
51.01%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.89
WIN %
48.99%
4/2/2025
SFG
VS
HOU
WIN %
42.19%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.27
WIN %
57.81%
4/2/2025
CLE
VS
SDP
WIN %
39.29%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.03
WIN %
60.71%
4/2/2025
DET
VS
SEA
WIN %
57.85%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
6.58
WIN %
42.15%
4/2/2025
NYM
VS
MIA
WIN %
74.38%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.76
WIN %
25.62%
4/2/2025
WSN
VS
TOR
WIN %
47.81%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.2
WIN %
52.19%
4/2/2025
CHC
VS
OAK
WIN %
50.77%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.84
WIN %
49.23%
4/2/2025
LAA
VS
STL
WIN %
36.78%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.65
WIN %
63.22%
4/2/2025
PIT
VS
TBR
WIN %
50.89%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
6.76
WIN %
49.11%
4/2/2025
KCR
VS
MIL
WIN %
47.65%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.66
WIN %
52.35%
4/2/2025
MIN
VS
CHW
WIN %
77.85%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.28
WIN %
22.15%
4/2/2025
TEX
VS
CIN
WIN %
51.47%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.85
WIN %
48.53%
4/1/2025
CHC
VS
OAK
WIN %
61.69%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.51
WIN %
38.31%
4/1/2025
DET
VS
SEA
WIN %
40.64%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.2
WIN %
59.36%
4/1/2025
CLE
VS
SDP
WIN %
39.24%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.08
WIN %
60.76%
4/1/2025
SFG
VS
HOU
WIN %
54.13%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.97
WIN %
45.87%
4/1/2025
KCR
VS
MIL
WIN %
42.58%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.71
WIN %
57.42%
4/1/2025
WSN
VS
TOR
WIN %
40.35%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.73
WIN %
59.65%
4/1/2025
NYM
VS
MIA
WIN %
60.45%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
6.91
WIN %
39.55%
4/1/2025
ARI
VS
NYY
WIN %
50.94%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.55
WIN %
49.06%
3/31/2025
ATL
VS
LAD
WIN %
41.06%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.32
WIN %
58.94%
3/31/2025
CHC
VS
OAK
WIN %
65.53%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.04
WIN %
34.47%
3/31/2025
CLE
VS
SDP
WIN %
44.42%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.22
WIN %
55.58%
3/31/2025
SFG
VS
HOU
WIN %
50.44%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
9.04
WIN %
49.56%
3/31/2025
LAA
VS
STL
WIN %
37.9%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.55
WIN %
62.1%
3/31/2025
NYM
VS
MIA
WIN %
68.45%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
7.79
WIN %
31.55%
3/31/2025
DET
VS
SEA
WIN %
50.49%
TOTAL RUNS
T/ RUNS
8.1
WIN %
49.51%

HOW WE MAKE PICKS

DATA ACQUISITION

Our win probability model is created using Statcast data over the last 5 seasons and has been applied to the 3,300 games that occurred over the last two seasons. With each season, the model is updated with new data to keep the predictions accurate.

DATA ANALYSIS

Using our individual player projections, each day we input the starting pitchers and run a Monte Carlos simulation to simulate each game 10,000 times and identify the median outcomes.

PROJECTION OUTPUT

The model outputs the predicted win percentage for each team as well as the total runs scored in the game. We then compare to lines provided by sports book and bet the games we identify an edge on.