2022 Official Futures Picks

In this article I will go division by division, show my projections, and give a full breakdown of the official futures that we are on. No need to wait any longer, let's jump right into it

AL EAST

I have the Blue Jays projected as the second-best offense scoring 5.26 runs/game with the Yankees closely behind in fourth with 5.01. For the most part I think this division will be a competition between the Blue Jays and Yankees. I show value on both the Yankees and Blue Jays so I would say technically both plays to win the division are fine. However, I don’t like the idea of doing that and am going to be taking Blue Jays to win the division at +170 at Draftkings. I would play this down to +160. I chose them over the Yankees because outside of Cole I think the Yankees have a lot of unknowns at pitching whereas the Blue Jays have more depth to close out the rotation in Ryu and Manoah.  Moving on, I don’t really think the Red Sox have the pitching to compete for the division and I don’t really think the Rays have the necessary super stars. Wander Franco is going to be a stud don’t get me wrong but he is not in the point of his career to go against the likes of Vlady and Judge. With that, we will also be taking Tampa Bay u89.5 wins at Draftkings.I have this closer to 84.5 which in my projections gives us almost 5 wins to work with. I would play this to 88.5. Baltimore – I mean what do you want me to say? I think I have already given them more time than they deserve. They have areal case to be the worst team in baseball. Here’s what we are on:

Blue Jays to win the division +170 at Draftkings 1U. (Play to +160)

Rays u89.5 wins at Draftkings 1U. (Play to 88.5)

AL CENTRAL

This is the White Sox division to lose. Prior to making the projections I was kind of hoping we would be on a White Sox over but that is unfortunately not the case as we are between 1-2 wins below the market. However, we do show about4% of value on them to win the division which is good enough for me. We are taking White Sox to win the AL Central at -195 on DraftKings. I would bet this to -200. We are also taking the Detroit Tigers u77.5 wins on Fanduel. I was SHOCKED to see this number at 80.5 at open and I grabbed it immediately.I probably should have tweeted something out about it at the time, but I guess that is a lesson learned. Regardless we will mark it down at u77.5 and still win this one with ease. I would bet this to 76.5.

I am pretty in line with the market on MIN/CLE/KC and view them very similarly. I don’t think any of these teams have what it takes to win the division. The Correa signing didn’t really move the needle that much considering they got rid of Donaldson and lets not pretend like the Greinke going back to the Royals is anything significant. I do see a world where theTwins beat up on the Guardians, Royals, and Tigers and make some sort of push for the division but ultimately I don’t think that happens enough for us to place a bet on it. Here’s what we are on:

Chicago White Sox to win the division -195 on Draftkings 1U.(I would bet to -200)

Tigers u77.5 wins 1U on Fanduel. (I would bet this to 76.5)

AL WEST 

Here we go. The most fun division to bet on. At the end of last year, I was expecting to be high on the Mariners but unfortunately that is not the case. However, I am high on the Angles which might be better.  I think they are the clear second-best team in the division and have a great case to take it down. I have them winning the division close to 35% of the time so at +410 on Fanduel, this gives us about 16%of value. I would bet this down to +320. In a related note, we are going to be on Seattle Mariners u84.5 wins at Pointsbet. I wouldn’t bet this any further than this. I am punching myself for not taking the 85.5 that it opened at but I was too chicken to pull the trigger. Finally, the Athletics. Unlike the Orioles mentioned earlier, I think there is a fun bet out there we can take.Athletics to have the worst division in baseball +1100 on Fanduel. I don’t have projections for the likelihood of this happening but their competitors fort this award are PIT/BAL/DET. I think PIT and DET are both trying win right now and the Orioles are stuck in no man’s land trying to build a club. OAK on the other hand has NO intention of winning. The only thing more shocking than their sell off was the fact that they haven’t shipped Manaea or Montas yet which I am sure they are going to at the deadline. I would only put .5U and would take it down to +800.  Here’s what we are on:

Los Angeles Angels to win the division +410 1U on Fanduel. Would bet to +325

Mariners u84.5 wins at Pointsbet 1U. Would bet do 84.5.

Oakland Athletics to have worst record in MLB +1100 .5U at Fanduel. Would bet to +800

NL EAST 

The NL East is home to my favorite bet of the year with the Phillies to win the World Series at +2500 on FD . I grabbed a 40-1 earlier in the offseason but at this point I wouldn’t bet past 2500. We get a great deal of help with DeGrom and Scherzer both experiencing some light injuries but the bulk of this future is based on the backs of Harper/Schwarber/Castellanos being the meat of the order. I have the Phillies as the 6th best offense in baseball scoring 4.88 runs/game and they will likely be a consist DFS play before the world figures them out. While there is value on +340 to win the division at Fanduel, I am choosing to stay away from that and take the WordSeries odds but can’t blame you if you don’t want to take a 25-1.

Additionally, there are a lot of smart people in the industry who are on MIA o76.5 wins but we are not. I just wanted to put that out there incase you are interested. Other than that, nothing more from me in this division.Here’s what we are on:

Phillies to win WS +2500 at Fanduel 1U. Would bet to +2500.

 NL CENTRAL

Similar to the AL central, this division is the Brewers to lose and we will be taking them to win the division at -165 on Draftkings. I project that they win this division close to 74% of the time which gives us 12%of value and I would bet this to -200. I imagine the Brewers pitching staff is too much for the rest of the division to handle and no other rotation comes even remotely close to competing. The only other play within this division is myChicago Cubs o74.5 wins at Fanduel. Listen. I know. The Cubs just sold off every remaining pulse from their championship team but I don’t think they are going to be as bad as it seems. Seiya Suzuki was a great add from Japan and theCubs have plenty of young hitters around him that can get on base. This bet is not so much on the Cubs, but the rest of the division to be bad. Trust me, I wish I wasn’t doing this either. Here’s what we are on:

Brewers to win the NL central -165 on DraftKings 2U. Would bet to -200.

Cubs o74.5 wins 1U at Fanduel. Bet to 74.5.

NL WEST 

We get to wrap up with the best team in baseball and probably the best team I have seen in my life. I have the Dodgers as the #1 offense in baseball by a wide margin scoring 5.65 runs/game. I will likely be playing a lot of Trea Turner in DFS despite his price but that is for a different time.I show value on both the Dodgers win total and odds to win the division but amopting to take them to win the division at -230 on Fanduel because with a win total this high few thing can go wrong and still have it hit. However, towin the division things can go wrong and we can still take it down. I would bet this to -240 but wouldn’t blame you if you took the over 96.5 wins as well.

We are also going to be on the Giants u85.5 wins +104 at Fanduel.By all metrics, the Giants got worse this year losing Guasman, Bryant, Posey. Idon’t really have much faith in the addition of Rodon considering not even ayear ago he was nearly cut by the White Sox. I think the fact that they won northof 100 games is keeping this line propped up in an incredibly tough division. Hereswhat we are on:

Dodgers to win the NL West -230 2.3U at Fanduel. Would bet to -240.

Giants u85.5 Wins +104 at Fanduel. Would bet to 85.5 -110.

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